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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+1.55vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.24+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.45+1.63vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-2.21vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.75-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.3Villanova University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Delaware-0.450.0%1st Place
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1.79Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.5%1st Place
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2.73Drexel University1.750.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 22.2% | 29.1% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 9.5% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 39.2% | 12.2% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 12.1% | 78.3% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 48.3% | 30.1% | 16.6% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Joan Boyle | 18.6% | 23.1% | 29.6% | 23.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.