Race 7A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alistair Knoblauch 2.1% 4.6% 5.2% 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 7.3% 7.4% 5.8% 8.2% 8.1% 9.7% 8.6% 7.7% 5.8% 4.3%
Sophia Hubbard 14.4% 15.2% 12.9% 10.8% 10.9% 9.4% 7.1% 6.7% 4.5% 4.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Tor Svendsen 21.0% 16.6% 17.5% 12.0% 12.0% 8.0% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Wilkinson 5.7% 6.7% 7.6% 6.9% 6.6% 8.8% 9.2% 8.1% 10.1% 7.4% 6.5% 5.6% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Devon Owen 14.0% 13.6% 13.6% 12.7% 11.6% 8.3% 8.5% 6.5% 4.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matteo Asscher 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 5.6% 4.9% 7.6% 7.3% 6.0% 8.5% 7.4% 8.7% 7.3% 9.1% 8.0% 5.5% 4.8%
Camden Hom 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 3.4% 3.3% 4.4% 3.0% 5.4% 5.9% 8.0% 10.3% 15.4% 31.2%
Lucca Antonietti 13.1% 12.6% 12.9% 11.8% 10.9% 9.6% 8.2% 6.9% 5.5% 4.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 8.9% 6.9% 8.5% 9.6% 9.0% 7.3% 5.9% 5.2% 3.6%
Jeremy Lunati 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 5.9% 6.7% 8.1% 9.3% 11.2% 11.5% 13.1% 11.1%
Noah Reischmann 6.3% 5.3% 5.3% 6.8% 7.0% 6.6% 8.8% 8.4% 7.9% 9.9% 7.6% 6.2% 5.6% 4.6% 3.1% 0.6%
Isaac Thompson 2.6% 3.7% 2.2% 2.8% 4.9% 5.3% 4.9% 5.9% 7.5% 6.7% 8.3% 7.7% 8.8% 10.4% 10.6% 7.7%
Ted Richardsson 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 6.9% 7.6% 8.8% 9.8% 11.9% 11.6% 13.1%
Luke Kenahan 4.5% 2.8% 4.2% 5.0% 5.5% 7.5% 6.6% 8.1% 9.0% 7.2% 7.3% 9.0% 7.8% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1%
Charlie Walton 2.0% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.3% 2.9% 5.2% 4.3% 5.7% 7.2% 8.2% 9.3% 11.0% 16.6% 17.4%
Buck Rathbun 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 6.7% 8.9% 8.9% 9.6% 9.3% 7.4% 7.1% 5.9% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.