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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.11+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.26+9.02vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+6.12vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.44+7.82vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.35+4.16vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.25+3.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.73-2.20vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.70-0.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.74-4.34vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+0.39vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.01vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.75+0.55vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.60-8.03vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.37-5.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.89-7.64vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.29-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Boston College2.110.2%1st Place
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11.02University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Vermont-0.440.0%1st Place
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9.16Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.49Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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10.39Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.01SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.55The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.97Bowdoin College1.600.1%1st Place
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8.95SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tor Svendsen | 22.2% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Charlie Walton | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 19.5% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Reischmann | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Devon Owen | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% |
| Camden Hom | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 31.2% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Matteo Asscher | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.