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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.11+2.66vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.29+7.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.60+2.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.73+0.76vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.70+2.96vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+4.35vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.35+2.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.89-0.91vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.25+0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.44+1.79vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.23+0.05vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.84vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.74-8.42vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.75-1.46vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-5.79vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.37-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Boston College2.110.2%1st Place
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9.2Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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5.05Bowdoin College1.600.1%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.96Bowdoin College0.700.1%1st Place
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10.35Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.13Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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9.36Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Vermont-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.05SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.16University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.58Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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12.54The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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9.1SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tor Svendsen | 22.2% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Asscher | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Reischmann | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Charlie Walton | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 13.9% |
| Devon Owen | 15.3% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 28.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 3.3% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.