Race 10A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Devon Owen 15.2% 15.6% 14.2% 11.3% 11.6% 10.2% 5.4% 6.2% 5.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 3.1% 5.2% 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 5.5% 7.9% 7.0% 9.3% 8.1% 7.2% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 4.1% 2.7%
Charles Wilkinson 6.8% 5.5% 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% 9.7% 10.0% 7.8% 10.1% 7.8% 6.2% 5.6% 3.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Lucca Antonietti 11.9% 12.7% 12.1% 11.8% 11.2% 10.0% 8.3% 7.2% 5.8% 4.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Isaac Thompson 1.6% 3.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 4.0% 6.6% 6.5% 7.3% 8.0% 8.9% 8.1% 10.7% 9.2% 9.5% 5.9%
Sophia Hubbard 14.5% 12.9% 13.6% 13.6% 12.0% 10.0% 6.3% 4.6% 5.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Noah Reischmann 6.1% 5.5% 5.7% 7.1% 6.9% 6.6% 8.5% 8.7% 9.0% 7.7% 7.9% 7.1% 6.4% 4.0% 2.5% 0.3%
Buck Rathbun 3.2% 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 6.3% 8.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.9% 10.7% 7.5% 5.8% 7.1% 4.4% 2.5%
Tor Svendsen 22.6% 18.3% 14.5% 12.9% 10.0% 8.6% 5.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Walton 2.0% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.8% 2.9% 4.4% 4.6% 6.2% 6.8% 9.0% 11.7% 12.3% 12.5% 15.5%
Matteo Asscher 3.6% 3.9% 5.5% 3.6% 5.7% 6.0% 5.7% 8.3% 7.1% 8.1% 9.2% 9.5% 8.4% 7.3% 5.2% 2.9%
Jeremy Lunati 1.7% 2.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 5.6% 6.8% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 9.7% 9.7% 12.3% 11.8%
Luke Kenahan 2.8% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 6.2% 6.5% 7.1% 8.0% 7.9% 9.2% 9.2% 8.4% 6.9% 5.9% 5.4% 2.7%
Ted Richardsson 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.1% 5.3% 4.8% 5.5% 5.3% 7.8% 7.7% 9.3% 10.2% 9.8% 10.7% 11.5%
Skye Johnson 2.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.6% 4.1% 6.4% 6.4% 8.8% 8.5% 11.7% 17.0% 17.1%
Camden Hom 0.6% 1.5% 1.1% 1.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 3.2% 5.5% 5.8% 7.0% 8.7% 11.7% 14.9% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.