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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.33+3.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.90+4.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+3.63vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.15+6.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+6.85vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.85+6.18vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.66+0.24vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.37+2.54vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.30-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.83+2.17vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.19vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.53-4.47vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.75vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.51-6.52vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.16-6.10vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.21-10.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Bowdoin College1.330.2%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.63Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.18The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.24Maine Maritime Academy0.660.1%1st Place
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10.54SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.96Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.81Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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10.25University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.48SUNY Maritime College0.510.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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5.31Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ladd | 15.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 9.4% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Graham Welsh | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 19.4% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 24.6% |
| Toby Clarkson | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| James Meyer | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 22.5% |
| Elliot Condon | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Charlie Conover | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| James Frady | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| Adam Starck | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Walter McFarland | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.