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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.30+3.92vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.16+6.73vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+3.60vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.66+3.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.21+0.33vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.33-0.99vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.37+3.71vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.53-0.61vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.51-1.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.90-3.64vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.15-2.08vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.85-0.85vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-4.32vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-3.10vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.83-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Boston College1.300.2%1st Place
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8.73Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.23Maine Maritime Academy0.660.1%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.01Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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10.71SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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7.52SUNY Maritime College0.510.1%1st Place
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6.36Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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10.27University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.92Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.15The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.68Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogelio Casellas | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Carter Anderson | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Toby Clarkson | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Walter McFarland | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.9% |
| Charlie Conover | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Adam Starck | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Kiana Beachy | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| James Frady | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 22.1% |
| Elliot Condon | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Kevin McNeill | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| James Meyer | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.