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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.53+6.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.21+3.27vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.33+1.89vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.78+2.78vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.37+5.73vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.26+4.33vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.51+0.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.30-3.09vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+0.72vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.90-3.65vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.66-3.90vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.85+0.12vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.16-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.83-1.97vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-3.09vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.15-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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4.89Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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10.73SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.33University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.66SUNY Maritime College0.510.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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9.72Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.35Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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7.1Maine Maritime Academy0.660.1%1st Place
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12.12The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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11.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Conover | 5.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Walter McFarland | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| James Frady | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Adam Starck | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Condon | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Kiana Beachy | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Toby Clarkson | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 23.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| James Meyer | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 21.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 19.9% |
| Graham Welsh | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.