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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.33+3.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.90+4.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.21+2.27vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.78+2.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.53+2.51vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.51+1.64vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.15+3.00vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.85+4.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.16-0.25vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.74vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.30-6.95vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.34vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.66-7.05vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.83-2.80vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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6.22Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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6.82Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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7.64SUNY Maritime College0.510.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.06The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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9.87Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.26University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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10.66SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.95Maine Maritime Academy0.660.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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11.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ladd | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Walter McFarland | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Conover | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Adam Starck | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 23.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Elliot Condon | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| James Frady | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Toby Clarkson | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| James Meyer | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 22.1% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.