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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.90+5.17vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.51+5.52vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+3.62vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.33+1.02vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.66+2.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.21-0.63vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.16+1.89vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.30-3.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.53-1.57vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.12vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.15-1.11vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.83-0.91vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-2.26vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.37-4.21vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.85-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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7.52SUNY Maritime College0.510.1%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.02Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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7.14Maine Maritime Academy0.660.1%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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8.89Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College1.300.2%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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9.88Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.89Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.28University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.79SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.27The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiana Beachy | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Adam Starck | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Carter Anderson | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Ladd | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Toby Clarkson | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Walter McFarland | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Conover | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Elliot Condon | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% |
| James Frady | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| James Meyer | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 21.9% |
| Kevin McNeill | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 19.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Luke Pennisi | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.