← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University0.78+5.54vs Predicted
-
2Boston University-0.15+7.82vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.90+3.29vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.33+1.03vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.21+0.32vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy0.66+1.13vs Predicted
-
7Boston University0.16+1.92vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College0.53-0.55vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont-0.83+3.07vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-0.08vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College-0.37-0.35vs Predicted
-
12Boston College1.30-6.93vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-1.19vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College0.51-6.63vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-0.26-4.62vs Predicted
-
16The Citadel-0.85-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
-
9.82Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
6.29Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
-
5.03Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
-
5.32Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
-
7.13Maine Maritime Academy0.660.1%1st Place
-
8.92Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
-
7.45Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
-
12.07University of Vermont-0.830.0%1st Place
-
9.92Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.65SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.07Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
-
11.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
-
7.37SUNY Maritime College0.510.1%1st Place
-
10.38University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
-
12.25The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Anderson | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Ladd | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Walter McFarland | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Toby Clarkson | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Charlie Conover | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| James Meyer | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 22.3% |
| Elliot Condon | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 19.0% |
| Adam Starck | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| James Frady | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.