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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+7.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+6.71vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+6.56vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+1.65vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+3.57vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.51vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.33vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.59-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.13+4.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+3.79vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.39-6.13vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.90-1.26vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-3.59vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.77-7.36vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.53-3.13vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.62-4.45vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.50-4.85vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.86-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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9.56Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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13.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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10.74George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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6.64Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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11.55Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.15Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Chase Decker | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 20.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 26.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.5% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| Steven Hardee | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.