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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+8.48vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+3.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+4.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+4.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+4.46vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.42vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.59+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.13+1.38vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.39-4.33vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.53+1.05vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.45-3.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+0.38vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.86-3.69vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.13-1.63vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.62-4.37vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.50-4.83vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.90-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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8.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.67Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.02Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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11.63Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.17Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Chase Decker | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.7% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 23.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 21.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.