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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+7.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+2.87vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.59+4.79vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.53+7.81vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.45+3.13vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.50+6.04vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17+2.31vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-2.40vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.62+2.55vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.34vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.77-4.00vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-3.16vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.86-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.83vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.90-4.60vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.10-6.38vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.13-3.53vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.81University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.04Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.31Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.55Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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8.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.0Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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13.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.8% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| Enzo Menditto | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 23.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.