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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+12.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+3.89vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.59+4.81vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.13+4.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.49vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17+2.32vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.86+1.61vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.50+2.30vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-2.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.84vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.62-1.63vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.77-7.32vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-5.51vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.53-4.05vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.45-8.72vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.90-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.44University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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8.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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12.3Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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13.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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11.37Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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6.68Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.24George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 21.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Chase Decker | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.3% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 26.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.