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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+7.89vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+7.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+4.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+4.29vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.10+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.45vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+2.55vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.62+3.45vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.59-1.54vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-1.19vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.86-0.25vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-6.97vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.53-1.20vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.50-2.23vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.45-6.91vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.34vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.13-3.48vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.90-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.57Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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7.05Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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11.45Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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5.03Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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11.8University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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10.18George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.0% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Chase Decker | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 25.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 23.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.