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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+8.52vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+6.56vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+7.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.13+5.39vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.59+2.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10-0.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-0.10vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.39-3.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.53+2.17vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.45-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.13+1.67vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.62-1.61vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-4.73vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.90-4.62vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.32-7.27vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.50-4.86vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Miami1.860.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.75Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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11.39Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.73Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.14Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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13.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Chase Decker | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.7% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 25.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.