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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.79+5.07vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+7.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+3.53vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+1.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.48+0.93vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+4.20vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.16vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.68+1.13vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.34-2.30vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.61-0.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+2.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-3.86vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.64-3.99vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.53-0.82vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.23-4.09vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.57-2.80vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.79-12.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.2George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Miami1.680.0%1st Place
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7.7Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.55Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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14.18University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.2University of Michigan0.570.0%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Herlihy | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Stratton | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Langdon Wallace | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 29.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Ella Towner | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 23.4% |
| William Hurd | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Ben Visco | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 23.6% |
| Reade Decker | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.