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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+9.58vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+10.41vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.45+5.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.44+4.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.69vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+2.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.62vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.54+3.88vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.33-3.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.57vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.10-4.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-3.13vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.61+1.81vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.12-4.53vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.11-1.51vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.24-2.86vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.01-6.67vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.09-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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12.41University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.68Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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4.31Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.88Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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5.15Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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6.12College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.81Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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9.47Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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13.14Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.33Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.66Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 20.3% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 36.3% |
| Peter Foley | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Abe Weston | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.