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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.52vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.33+3.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+7.72vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+6.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.27vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.44+1.44vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.09+1.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.73vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43-1.27vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.01-0.75vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-2.85vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.12-3.43vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.45-5.83vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.54-3.10vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.11-2.48vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.08-3.30vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.61-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.35Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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5.98College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.91University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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9.57Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.17Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.9Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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13.7Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.82Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.4% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Peter Busch | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Peter Foley | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Abe Weston | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.