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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.81vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University1.95+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.45+1.63vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75-1.26vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.24-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.5%1st Place
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2.56Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Delaware-0.450.0%1st Place
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2.74Drexel University1.750.2%1st Place
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3.26Villanova University1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 49.8% | 27.6% | 15.6% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Paul Stevens | 20.5% | 29.2% | 28.2% | 18.3% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 79.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 17.0% | 24.7% | 30.1% | 23.6% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Celone | 11.0% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 40.8% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.