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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.10vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.74+3.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+3.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.38vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.48vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35+0.21vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.03-3.11vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.77+0.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-2.18vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.27+0.43vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.32-0.50vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.74-3.61vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.57-4.09vs Predicted
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15Hampton University-0.04+0.27vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.42-1.80vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.56-6.66vs Predicted
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18-0.26-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.97Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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4.89Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.41Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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11.43Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.5Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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15.27Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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14.2Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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10.34University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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15.63-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 13.6% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Ivet Bejar | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 23.4% | 31.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Efe Guder | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 21.8% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.