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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.77+8.64vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.27+9.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+6.84vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.74+1.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05-0.10vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.35+1.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.54-0.46vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.32+3.03vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.56+1.16vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.03-4.86vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.52vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.42+2.33vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.25-5.52vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.57-4.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-6.49vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-0.04-1.62vs Predicted
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18-0.26-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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11.59Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.8Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.9Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.26College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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10.16University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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5.14Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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14.33Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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7.48Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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15.38Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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15.59-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Schmid | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Christian Ebbin | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 16.2% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Efe Guder | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 17.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Ivet Bejar | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 22.8% | 34.5% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.