← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.74+5.04vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.49+8.75vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.25+4.79vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.05+0.82vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.03-0.08vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.37vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.48vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.77+1.36vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.35-1.86vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.55-3.29vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.74-1.30vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.56-1.47vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University0.42+0.91vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.32-3.12vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-5.62vs Predicted
-
16-0.26-0.22vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University-0.04-1.68vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University1.27-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.04Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
-
10.75Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
7.79Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
4.82Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
4.92Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
-
7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
9.36Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.14College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.71U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.7Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
-
10.53University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
-
13.91Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
10.88Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
-
15.78-0.260.0%1st Place
-
15.32Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
-
11.12Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.1% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Efe Guder | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 21.6% | 14.7% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 19.9% | 43.2% |
| Ivet Bejar | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 24.7% | 32.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.