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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+6.43vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+3.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+2.04vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.25+3.56vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+4.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.49vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.77+1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.49vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.27+1.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-1.45vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.74-5.88vs Predicted
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13Hampton University-0.04+2.11vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.74-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.56-4.82vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.42-1.85vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.32-5.73vs Predicted
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18-0.26-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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5.01Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.04Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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9.36Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.52Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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6.12Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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15.11Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.18University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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14.15Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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15.62-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Christian Ebbin | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ivet Bejar | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 32.2% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Efe Guder | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 17.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 23.7% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.