← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.03+4.16vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.35+5.42vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.71vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.23vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.05-0.14vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.74-0.17vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.25+0.57vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.74+1.42vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.27+2.28vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.56+0.41vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-1.42vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.49-1.16vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.68vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.77-4.86vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.32-3.88vs Predicted
-
16-0.26-0.21vs Predicted
-
17Florida State University0.42-2.80vs Predicted
-
18Hampton University-0.04-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.16Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.42College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.71U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
4.86Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
-
5.83Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
-
7.57Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
9.42Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.28Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
-
10.41University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
-
9.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
-
10.84Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
9.14Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.12Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
-
15.79-0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.2Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
15.13Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 17.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Efe Guder | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 43.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 17.7% |
| Ivet Bejar | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 23.7% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.