Race 1A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Joseph Marynowski 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 9.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 8.6% 5.9% 5.9% 2.9%
Ian Lent 17.2% 17.1% 13.7% 10.7% 11.3% 9.2% 6.8% 4.9% 3.6% 2.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Teddy Martin 11.3% 11.9% 11.2% 8.7% 9.3% 10.3% 8.1% 8.7% 5.8% 6.4% 4.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.4%
Mason Cook 15.8% 16.8% 14.9% 12.8% 9.6% 8.7% 7.3% 5.4% 3.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Hugh Carty 5.7% 6.9% 8.6% 9.6% 7.7% 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.1% 8.9% 7.3% 5.5% 3.0% 2.4%
Marina Conde 8.8% 6.6% 9.3% 10.0% 11.1% 7.7% 8.3% 7.4% 8.7% 6.4% 7.2% 5.6% 1.8% 1.1%
Cash Espinoza 1.9% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.5% 5.2% 4.9% 5.6% 8.8% 10.9% 17.4% 27.1%
Ian Fox 8.2% 8.0% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 8.4% 7.9% 6.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.7% 1.9%
Wynne Williams 4.1% 3.0% 3.2% 4.6% 4.4% 4.0% 6.2% 8.4% 6.7% 10.8% 10.8% 11.1% 13.3% 9.4%
Liam Christopher 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 1.6% 2.6% 3.9% 4.8% 5.0% 6.6% 7.9% 8.5% 12.0% 17.3% 23.2%
Esther Ireland 6.5% 5.6% 5.3% 7.5% 7.8% 8.9% 7.4% 9.0% 9.8% 8.2% 7.8% 7.1% 5.1% 4.0%
Adrianna D'Agati 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 5.2% 6.0% 6.4% 6.2% 7.6% 10.8% 9.7% 8.6% 9.8% 9.8% 7.2%
Pilar Cundey 6.8% 7.6% 6.2% 6.4% 6.9% 8.0% 9.9% 8.0% 10.1% 7.9% 7.2% 7.6% 5.0% 2.4%
Walker Brescia 2.4% 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 6.5% 5.4% 5.2% 7.6% 10.0% 13.2% 16.1% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.