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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.46+5.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.47+4.54vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.87+1.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.27-2.48vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.30-0.97vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.63-2.70vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.29-2.62vs Predicted
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11Cornell University0.72-1.72vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.35-1.71vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.92-4.47vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.10-3.17vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.27-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68University of Pennsylvania1.460.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy1.470.1%1st Place
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Pennsylvania2.270.2%1st Place
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7.03Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.38Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.28Cornell University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.29St. Mary's College of Maryland0.350.0%1st Place
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8.53Cornell University0.920.0%1st Place
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10.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.100.0%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Fox | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Mason Cook | 18.4% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Martin | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Ian Lent | 15.9% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Marina Conde | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Esther Ireland | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Wynne Williams | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% |
| Walker Brescia | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 19.8% |
| Adrianna D'Agati | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Cash Espinoza | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 28.6% |
| Liam Christopher | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.