Race 3A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hugh Carty 7.4% 6.9% 10.7% 8.7% 7.7% 8.1% 7.8% 9.0% 9.0% 8.3% 5.5% 5.6% 3.3% 2.0%
Teddy Martin 11.7% 11.1% 11.1% 11.3% 10.4% 9.0% 9.6% 7.9% 6.1% 4.8% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6%
Ian Lent 17.1% 14.7% 14.3% 11.8% 9.8% 8.7% 7.7% 6.0% 4.7% 2.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Mason Cook 16.2% 19.1% 11.4% 13.3% 11.4% 7.4% 6.8% 5.3% 4.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Fox 5.6% 6.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.6% 9.1% 9.4% 6.9% 8.8% 8.0% 7.6% 6.5% 3.6% 2.4%
Joseph Marynowski 6.2% 5.3% 6.5% 6.5% 7.9% 8.3% 7.7% 9.1% 8.5% 8.4% 8.8% 6.9% 6.7% 3.2%
Pilar Cundey 7.1% 7.4% 6.3% 7.3% 7.6% 8.6% 8.4% 9.2% 7.8% 8.7% 8.8% 6.2% 4.3% 2.3%
Marina Conde 8.8% 9.7% 8.9% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 7.3% 6.7% 7.2% 6.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.0%
Adrianna D'Agati 4.6% 3.9% 4.7% 4.9% 4.0% 6.6% 7.5% 7.9% 8.4% 10.6% 10.3% 9.8% 10.7% 6.1%
Esther Ireland 5.6% 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 9.3% 7.5% 7.8% 9.4% 9.3% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6%
Wynne Williams 3.4% 3.3% 3.7% 4.1% 5.0% 6.2% 6.1% 6.3% 6.9% 9.5% 11.0% 12.6% 10.4% 11.5%
Walker Brescia 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 2.8% 4.1% 4.4% 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 10.8% 13.1% 14.6% 19.7%
Liam Christopher 2.5% 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 4.2% 3.7% 3.0% 4.8% 6.7% 8.4% 9.2% 12.6% 16.4% 21.3%
Cash Espinoza 1.6% 2.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.1% 3.5% 4.6% 4.6% 5.9% 5.9% 7.9% 9.8% 19.7% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.