Race 4A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Teddy Martin 10.8% 12.4% 12.0% 9.9% 8.4% 10.4% 8.8% 7.6% 6.1% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.7% 0.6%
Mason Cook 19.5% 15.2% 15.5% 11.5% 11.2% 8.9% 6.3% 4.6% 2.9% 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Adrianna D'Agati 4.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 6.6% 5.6% 6.8% 6.5% 8.5% 9.9% 10.9% 10.2% 9.6% 6.3%
Esther Ireland 4.8% 6.3% 7.2% 7.5% 7.1% 9.1% 8.1% 9.6% 8.4% 8.9% 8.0% 6.7% 4.8% 3.5%
Ian Lent 13.9% 15.4% 14.4% 13.6% 9.1% 8.7% 8.0% 6.6% 3.3% 3.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Pilar Cundey 5.7% 6.1% 5.9% 6.0% 9.0% 7.8% 9.2% 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 7.0% 9.5% 5.4% 2.4%
Marina Conde 9.6% 8.9% 10.8% 9.2% 10.1% 8.5% 7.9% 9.1% 8.4% 6.2% 5.8% 3.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Ian Fox 7.4% 8.8% 7.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 8.7% 7.1% 6.9% 5.5% 4.2% 1.8%
Walker Brescia 3.1% 2.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 4.8% 4.1% 4.3% 6.0% 9.2% 10.8% 12.8% 16.3% 18.9%
Joseph Marynowski 5.9% 5.6% 4.8% 7.8% 8.9% 6.9% 9.0% 7.9% 10.8% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 4.7% 2.9%
Hugh Carty 7.7% 7.2% 6.8% 9.6% 8.2% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 8.7% 8.3% 6.4% 4.5% 4.5% 1.8%
Cash Espinoza 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 3.3% 4.8% 5.3% 7.7% 8.5% 12.3% 14.5% 29.9%
Marcus Greco 3.4% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 4.1% 5.0% 5.0% 6.8% 8.4% 10.2% 11.4% 9.8% 12.3% 12.0%
Liam Christopher 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% 4.6% 5.7% 5.7% 5.0% 6.6% 7.8% 13.3% 19.0% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.