Race 5A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mason Cook 18.0% 17.0% 15.5% 10.7% 10.1% 7.5% 6.8% 4.9% 3.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Ian Lent 17.2% 16.5% 13.2% 11.7% 11.2% 8.9% 7.3% 5.3% 3.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Marina Conde 7.9% 9.8% 8.6% 9.7% 8.5% 9.6% 8.0% 10.7% 6.7% 7.3% 6.2% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7%
Ian Fox 5.8% 8.0% 8.2% 7.3% 9.2% 9.2% 9.9% 8.3% 8.1% 8.7% 6.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.5%
Joseph Marynowski 5.0% 6.1% 6.7% 8.3% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 7.6% 9.3% 8.8% 7.3% 8.5% 5.5% 3.1%
Teddy Martin 10.5% 8.9% 11.4% 11.8% 10.6% 8.1% 8.8% 7.9% 7.4% 5.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Esther Ireland 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 6.7% 8.1% 8.5% 8.3% 7.2% 9.2% 9.3% 7.3% 7.3% 3.6% 2.4%
Adrianna D'Agati 4.5% 4.4% 6.2% 4.8% 6.1% 5.7% 6.4% 7.4% 9.3% 9.4% 9.2% 9.5% 10.1% 7.0%
Marcus Greco 3.6% 3.0% 3.2% 2.9% 4.3% 4.6% 6.1% 7.2% 6.4% 10.4% 11.5% 11.5% 14.2% 11.1%
Walker Brescia 2.7% 2.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 5.1% 4.5% 6.0% 6.9% 7.7% 9.6% 11.6% 16.5% 20.6%
Pilar Cundey 6.2% 6.1% 5.2% 7.7% 8.5% 8.4% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 9.3% 7.1% 6.8% 6.0% 2.6%
Hugh Carty 7.1% 6.0% 7.6% 10.4% 8.8% 9.2% 8.9% 9.1% 7.7% 6.9% 8.2% 4.3% 4.4% 1.4%
Cash Espinoza 2.3% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 7.4% 8.7% 12.7% 14.8% 28.9%
Liam Christopher 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 4.7% 10.1% 13.6% 17.0% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.