Race 6A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mason Cook 19.7% 15.1% 15.5% 11.3% 9.4% 8.5% 7.0% 5.0% 2.9% 1.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Ian Fox 7.5% 9.2% 7.9% 9.1% 7.2% 8.5% 8.4% 9.0% 8.6% 8.4% 7.3% 5.4% 2.2% 1.3%
Esther Ireland 6.2% 6.0% 7.4% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 9.7% 7.5% 9.1% 9.2% 8.8% 6.5% 6.7% 1.7%
Hugh Carty 5.9% 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 9.9% 9.2% 8.7% 8.7% 6.9% 8.1% 8.0% 4.8% 3.7% 1.7%
Ian Lent 13.9% 16.3% 13.9% 12.8% 9.8% 9.4% 7.5% 5.4% 4.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Teddy Martin 11.0% 8.5% 10.6% 12.1% 10.5% 8.9% 8.5% 8.4% 7.4% 5.3% 3.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Pilar Cundey 6.7% 7.9% 7.5% 7.1% 6.8% 8.9% 9.5% 7.7% 8.3% 8.5% 7.8% 6.7% 4.7% 1.9%
Marina Conde 9.6% 9.7% 7.9% 8.2% 9.4% 8.4% 9.7% 8.1% 7.5% 7.1% 6.5% 4.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Walker Brescia 2.8% 2.8% 2.0% 2.7% 3.3% 3.8% 3.4% 4.2% 7.6% 7.9% 10.1% 12.7% 18.1% 18.6%
Cash Espinoza 2.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 4.1% 5.5% 5.3% 7.4% 7.9% 11.1% 14.9% 32.0%
Marcus Greco 3.0% 2.4% 3.5% 3.6% 6.1% 5.6% 4.3% 6.1% 8.1% 9.1% 10.3% 14.0% 10.5% 13.4%
Joseph Marynowski 5.8% 5.7% 5.9% 7.7% 9.1% 8.7% 8.2% 9.5% 8.0% 9.1% 7.6% 6.6% 5.4% 2.7%
Adrianna D'Agati 3.9% 5.0% 5.3% 4.6% 6.1% 6.5% 5.8% 9.6% 9.7% 7.9% 10.6% 9.7% 9.2% 6.1%
Liam Christopher 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 3.1% 4.1% 5.2% 5.3% 6.2% 6.8% 7.6% 13.5% 18.7% 19.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.