Race 8A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ian Fox 6.6% 7.4% 9.1% 8.8% 7.7% 9.0% 7.5% 8.3% 9.2% 7.2% 6.1% 6.5% 4.3% 2.3%
Teddy Martin 11.6% 10.5% 11.5% 10.1% 11.5% 8.5% 9.7% 7.3% 6.3% 4.9% 3.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Mason Cook 17.5% 17.2% 12.7% 11.2% 10.3% 8.2% 8.9% 5.4% 3.7% 3.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Joseph Marynowski 5.0% 5.4% 8.2% 7.5% 6.8% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 8.2% 7.9% 9.0% 7.5% 6.5% 3.9%
Hugh Carty 5.2% 8.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.6% 7.7% 8.8% 8.0% 8.3% 6.5% 7.8% 7.2% 5.4% 1.9%
Marina Conde 7.9% 6.6% 9.4% 9.7% 9.2% 10.1% 8.6% 7.7% 7.9% 6.9% 6.9% 4.6% 3.6% 0.9%
Ian Lent 17.5% 16.3% 12.4% 12.3% 11.5% 7.9% 7.2% 5.6% 4.2% 2.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Pilar Cundey 6.8% 6.5% 7.4% 5.9% 6.2% 9.0% 7.0% 8.4% 10.2% 8.6% 6.9% 7.2% 6.4% 3.5%
Adrianna D'Agati 5.1% 3.2% 3.6% 5.2% 4.7% 5.2% 6.5% 8.7% 8.6% 10.2% 10.9% 9.7% 10.6% 7.8%
Esther Ireland 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 6.8% 8.0% 7.0% 7.8% 9.7% 7.6% 7.9% 10.2% 8.7% 6.2% 2.9%
Cash Espinoza 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.9% 5.8% 7.1% 10.9% 18.2% 32.1%
Marcus Greco 2.5% 3.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.5% 6.2% 10.1% 10.0% 11.7% 13.1% 13.9%
Liam Christopher 2.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 3.2% 4.2% 6.5% 7.5% 8.4% 11.8% 16.3% 24.7%
Mats Braaten 4.7% 4.1% 5.7% 6.4% 5.7% 6.8% 7.0% 6.6% 8.2% 10.4% 11.5% 9.9% 7.5% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.