Race 1A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gilda Dondona 22.2% 18.9% 16.7% 14.0% 10.0% 7.9% 4.3% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Lina Carper 8.4% 10.6% 11.9% 11.2% 10.2% 10.5% 9.8% 10.2% 9.3% 4.5% 2.9% 0.5%
Margo Cicero 14.8% 12.4% 13.5% 10.9% 13.5% 11.0% 7.8% 7.5% 5.5% 1.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 6.8% 8.7% 7.7% 10.1% 12.8% 9.2% 11.2% 10.1% 8.8% 9.5% 3.7% 1.4%
Ava Gustafson 15.4% 16.8% 13.5% 12.3% 10.3% 10.3% 8.0% 4.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Esme Gonzalez 6.1% 7.1% 6.6% 7.2% 7.2% 9.8% 11.4% 12.4% 12.1% 9.7% 7.8% 2.6%
Maisy Sperry 7.3% 8.5% 7.5% 9.0% 9.7% 10.1% 8.4% 11.8% 9.4% 9.4% 6.8% 2.1%
Olivia Gilmore 7.4% 6.6% 8.0% 9.2% 8.3% 9.1% 11.8% 9.3% 11.5% 10.5% 5.9% 2.4%
Arabella Duer 2.1% 2.2% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 6.1% 7.7% 8.6% 11.2% 14.7% 26.6% 9.6%
Lillian Rippel 4.9% 4.0% 5.2% 5.2% 6.1% 6.9% 8.1% 9.9% 12.4% 15.5% 16.4% 5.4%
Kate Zurinskas 4.2% 3.2% 5.0% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 9.7% 10.1% 10.9% 16.0% 14.9% 5.5%
Haley Temme 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 4.8% 12.0% 70.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.