Race 2A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lina Carper 9.1% 9.7% 9.8% 10.4% 10.5% 13.4% 9.9% 9.6% 7.8% 5.9% 3.6% 0.3%
Gilda Dondona 21.3% 21.9% 14.1% 14.4% 10.0% 6.8% 5.2% 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 9.1% 6.9% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 9.4% 10.2% 12.8% 10.1% 7.9% 5.1% 0.8%
Margo Cicero 11.5% 15.3% 15.5% 11.7% 10.2% 10.1% 9.3% 6.9% 5.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Kate Zurinskas 4.4% 4.4% 5.2% 6.7% 6.5% 7.1% 9.5% 9.9% 12.3% 14.4% 13.7% 5.9%
Ava Gustafson 17.1% 13.1% 14.8% 12.3% 12.6% 10.1% 6.9% 5.6% 4.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Olivia Gilmore 7.1% 6.9% 8.0% 9.1% 9.3% 9.5% 10.7% 10.6% 9.8% 10.2% 6.5% 2.3%
Maisy Sperry 8.0% 7.6% 8.5% 8.1% 9.9% 8.9% 9.8% 10.3% 11.6% 9.2% 6.8% 1.3%
Esme Gonzalez 5.0% 6.9% 7.2% 8.3% 10.8% 9.6% 11.1% 10.2% 11.4% 11.0% 7.7% 0.8%
Lillian Rippel 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 4.8% 6.1% 7.7% 8.5% 10.5% 12.0% 15.7% 15.8% 5.1%
Arabella Duer 2.6% 1.9% 2.3% 4.3% 3.3% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 11.3% 15.4% 26.0% 12.7%
Haley Temme 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 4.4% 12.8% 70.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.