Race 3A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cho-Cho Williams 8.1% 7.1% 9.3% 8.8% 10.2% 10.4% 9.6% 12.3% 9.7% 7.9% 5.8% 0.8%
Margo Cicero 12.6% 14.1% 14.6% 12.3% 10.2% 11.0% 9.8% 6.8% 4.6% 3.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Gilda Dondona 22.8% 18.9% 16.0% 13.2% 11.1% 8.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Lillian Rippel 3.4% 4.1% 3.4% 5.1% 8.3% 8.0% 7.7% 10.0% 12.5% 15.2% 17.8% 4.5%
Ava Gustafson 15.8% 16.5% 14.1% 11.7% 9.8% 9.4% 7.5% 6.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Olivia Gilmore 6.3% 7.9% 6.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.7% 11.7% 12.0% 11.1% 9.6% 6.3% 2.2%
Lina Carper 10.0% 10.9% 10.6% 10.8% 10.4% 10.2% 11.4% 7.9% 9.6% 4.2% 3.2% 0.8%
Esme Gonzalez 7.1% 6.5% 8.3% 7.3% 8.0% 9.6% 11.2% 8.2% 12.9% 10.7% 7.5% 2.7%
Maisy Sperry 6.7% 6.1% 9.1% 10.6% 10.1% 10.6% 10.4% 10.0% 11.2% 9.5% 4.9% 0.8%
Arabella Duer 3.0% 3.3% 2.8% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 6.9% 8.9% 10.1% 15.5% 24.5% 12.1%
Kate Zurinskas 3.7% 3.7% 4.5% 7.3% 7.4% 6.5% 8.0% 12.2% 10.6% 14.3% 16.8% 5.0%
Haley Temme 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 5.8% 11.1% 70.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.