Race 4A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Margo Cicero 13.5% 12.1% 11.4% 12.9% 13.1% 10.9% 9.2% 7.2% 4.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Lina Carper 8.1% 12.6% 10.9% 9.2% 10.4% 10.1% 10.9% 11.5% 7.4% 5.6% 2.9% 0.4%
Gilda Dondona 25.2% 16.8% 15.4% 12.2% 11.1% 8.4% 6.5% 2.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Ava Gustafson 13.6% 17.8% 13.9% 14.2% 9.8% 8.3% 8.7% 6.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Cho-Cho Williams 7.5% 8.8% 9.1% 8.2% 11.3% 10.3% 10.0% 10.2% 9.3% 8.4% 5.9% 1.0%
Kate Zurinskas 4.3% 4.4% 6.4% 6.1% 5.8% 6.7% 9.1% 9.5% 13.5% 14.4% 15.3% 4.5%
Maisy Sperry 6.9% 7.8% 8.7% 8.7% 9.6% 10.2% 8.2% 12.7% 9.8% 9.0% 6.3% 2.1%
Arabella Duer 2.9% 3.4% 3.1% 4.6% 3.2% 5.6% 7.1% 7.6% 10.2% 14.8% 26.0% 11.5%
Olivia Gilmore 5.7% 6.5% 8.5% 10.1% 9.7% 10.9% 10.2% 10.7% 11.4% 8.2% 6.4% 1.7%
Lillian Rippel 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 4.2% 6.2% 7.8% 7.5% 10.2% 13.3% 16.5% 15.0% 4.9%
Haley Temme 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 12.0% 71.3%
Esme Gonzalez 6.4% 4.6% 7.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.6% 10.9% 9.7% 12.0% 12.3% 7.8% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.