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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.80vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.75+0.74vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.24+0.26vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University1.95-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.45-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.5%1st Place
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2.74Drexel University1.750.2%1st Place
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3.26Villanova University1.240.1%1st Place
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2.56Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Delaware-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 49.6% | 28.3% | 15.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 16.3% | 26.9% | 28.0% | 23.8% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 11.2% | 13.9% | 23.4% | 40.7% | 10.8% |
| Paul Stevens | 21.3% | 28.0% | 27.3% | 19.9% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.