Race 5A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Margo Cicero 13.3% 11.2% 13.5% 12.4% 13.0% 11.3% 8.0% 7.5% 4.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Ava Gustafson 15.0% 16.6% 14.4% 11.9% 11.8% 9.5% 7.6% 6.8% 3.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Gilda Dondona 22.6% 20.6% 14.2% 12.5% 10.6% 9.3% 5.8% 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Lillian Rippel 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 6.0% 5.5% 8.4% 9.2% 8.9% 13.8% 14.6% 15.1% 6.8%
Lina Carper 9.6% 10.6% 10.7% 11.1% 9.2% 11.0% 9.3% 10.7% 8.0% 6.1% 2.9% 0.8%
Haley Temme 1.0% 0.3% 1.2% 0.3% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.9% 3.3% 5.6% 11.6% 69.1%
Maisy Sperry 7.1% 7.4% 9.2% 8.4% 9.1% 10.7% 10.3% 11.0% 8.7% 9.5% 6.7% 1.9%
Kate Zurinskas 5.3% 4.7% 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 7.9% 11.0% 12.2% 14.6% 14.1% 4.5%
Olivia Gilmore 6.1% 7.1% 8.5% 9.5% 9.7% 9.0% 11.6% 9.5% 11.4% 9.2% 7.1% 1.3%
Cho-Cho Williams 8.5% 8.5% 9.3% 9.4% 10.9% 8.5% 11.1% 10.5% 10.1% 7.2% 5.3% 0.7%
Arabella Duer 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.5% 7.1% 11.6% 13.8% 28.2% 12.2%
Esme Gonzalez 5.8% 6.1% 6.3% 9.7% 8.1% 7.7% 10.8% 11.9% 11.5% 12.6% 7.0% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.