Race 6A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Margo Cicero 13.4% 12.2% 11.9% 15.1% 11.9% 9.6% 9.1% 7.3% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Esme Gonzalez 5.7% 5.8% 7.0% 7.8% 11.0% 8.3% 10.2% 9.9% 12.8% 11.2% 8.4% 1.9%
Lina Carper 10.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.3% 10.6% 11.0% 10.6% 9.9% 9.2% 5.4% 2.7% 0.3%
Cho-Cho Williams 6.8% 7.8% 10.7% 8.9% 11.0% 10.8% 10.3% 10.8% 8.4% 8.1% 4.8% 1.6%
Ava Gustafson 15.1% 16.2% 14.6% 12.4% 10.9% 9.7% 7.2% 5.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Arabella Duer 2.8% 2.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.7% 5.4% 5.1% 7.9% 11.0% 14.8% 25.6% 12.6%
Gilda Dondona 23.7% 21.3% 15.1% 12.1% 7.8% 8.7% 5.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Maisy Sperry 7.3% 8.6% 7.0% 9.5% 8.5% 9.2% 12.0% 9.9% 10.4% 8.8% 6.6% 2.2%
Kate Zurinskas 3.7% 4.1% 6.1% 5.6% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 11.9% 11.9% 14.1% 12.9% 2.8%
Lillian Rippel 4.4% 4.7% 4.6% 5.1% 6.3% 7.1% 8.8% 9.9% 11.6% 16.1% 16.4% 5.0%
Olivia Gilmore 6.0% 6.7% 8.0% 8.3% 7.4% 10.2% 10.2% 11.3% 11.0% 11.3% 7.6% 2.0%
Haley Temme 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 11.7% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.