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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.49vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.06+5.79vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania0.49+3.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.29+0.59vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.43-0.75vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.82-2.54vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-0.80vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.16-1.64vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.57-3.62vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University-0.34-3.16vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland-1.74-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.060.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Pennsylvania0.490.1%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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4.25Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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3.46Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University0.570.1%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University-0.340.0%1st Place
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11.06St. Mary's College of Maryland-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Carper | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Rippel | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 5.1% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Margo Cicero | 12.0% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ava Gustafson | 14.6% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Gilda Dondona | 22.7% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Sperry | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Gilmore | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Arabella Duer | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 24.7% | 13.4% |
| Haley Temme | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 12.4% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.