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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lina Carper 9.8% 8.6% 10.2% 9.9% 12.0% 12.0% 10.3% 9.7% 8.3% 5.8% 3.1% 0.3%
Lillian Rippel 3.2% 4.2% 4.2% 6.7% 6.1% 7.5% 9.3% 9.2% 10.5% 15.9% 18.1% 5.1%
Esme Gonzalez 6.8% 5.8% 6.9% 8.1% 6.7% 9.7% 10.7% 11.4% 12.6% 11.7% 8.0% 1.6%
Margo Cicero 12.0% 15.0% 13.9% 12.4% 11.6% 10.1% 8.7% 6.7% 5.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Ava Gustafson 14.6% 18.2% 13.1% 12.2% 12.7% 8.9% 6.8% 5.4% 4.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Gilda Dondona 22.7% 19.2% 16.6% 12.6% 9.8% 7.3% 6.1% 2.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maisy Sperry 7.6% 6.9% 9.1% 9.5% 8.9% 9.7% 10.5% 11.4% 9.3% 7.9% 6.9% 2.3%
Cho-Cho Williams 8.7% 8.8% 8.8% 9.4% 9.1% 10.8% 9.1% 12.6% 9.1% 7.8% 4.4% 1.4%
Kate Zurinskas 3.5% 3.8% 6.3% 6.7% 8.1% 8.9% 9.0% 10.6% 11.8% 15.5% 12.9% 2.9%
Olivia Gilmore 7.6% 6.1% 7.8% 8.3% 10.1% 8.3% 12.0% 10.0% 10.9% 10.0% 7.3% 1.6%
Arabella Duer 2.9% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 8.1% 12.8% 15.4% 24.7% 13.4%
Haley Temme 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 12.4% 71.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.