Race 8A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Margo Cicero 13.1% 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 10.9% 11.0% 10.0% 6.2% 5.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.1%
Olivia Gilmore 5.1% 8.3% 7.6% 7.4% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 12.8% 10.7% 11.3% 6.2% 1.3%
Gilda Dondona 23.5% 19.2% 15.6% 14.0% 10.6% 6.4% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 6.8% 7.8% 9.6% 10.7% 9.7% 8.8% 12.4% 9.2% 9.9% 9.0% 4.8% 1.3%
Lina Carper 8.8% 11.1% 11.6% 10.4% 9.2% 11.5% 10.6% 8.5% 7.4% 5.3% 5.3% 0.3%
Ava Gustafson 15.9% 14.9% 13.7% 12.7% 12.5% 9.6% 6.8% 7.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Esme Gonzalez 6.6% 7.1% 7.1% 7.5% 8.7% 10.0% 9.1% 10.5% 12.4% 10.0% 8.0% 3.0%
Maisy Sperry 8.3% 8.3% 7.7% 8.3% 9.0% 9.0% 11.3% 9.5% 11.7% 9.0% 5.5% 2.4%
Kate Zurinskas 4.4% 3.0% 5.1% 7.3% 8.0% 9.4% 9.3% 10.8% 13.1% 13.8% 13.2% 2.6%
Arabella Duer 3.4% 3.0% 3.5% 3.4% 4.4% 5.4% 6.1% 8.8% 9.9% 15.9% 24.6% 11.6%
Lillian Rippel 3.5% 3.4% 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 7.4% 11.6% 11.9% 15.1% 17.3% 6.6%
Haley Temme 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 4.4% 12.3% 70.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.