Race 9A

oyster-bowl-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Maisy Sperry 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 8.8% 8.4% 9.3% 11.8% 10.9% 11.9% 9.4% 6.8% 1.6%
Gilda Dondona 22.0% 19.6% 16.5% 13.7% 9.0% 8.8% 4.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lina Carper 10.3% 9.0% 10.4% 10.9% 10.0% 10.4% 11.5% 10.7% 7.5% 5.3% 3.4% 0.6%
Ava Gustafson 13.9% 16.1% 14.1% 13.8% 11.8% 10.0% 7.1% 6.1% 3.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 7.7% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 11.0% 10.3% 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 7.6% 5.9% 1.0%
Kate Zurinskas 4.1% 5.2% 5.6% 5.0% 6.1% 8.4% 8.7% 9.6% 13.4% 14.8% 14.1% 5.0%
Olivia Gilmore 7.1% 6.7% 8.6% 9.0% 8.7% 9.4% 9.2% 12.1% 10.8% 9.2% 6.7% 2.5%
Arabella Duer 2.8% 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.6% 5.1% 7.4% 8.1% 9.6% 14.6% 26.0% 11.3%
Margo Cicero 12.9% 14.3% 14.3% 12.3% 12.4% 10.1% 9.6% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Lillian Rippel 4.4% 4.3% 5.3% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% 8.3% 10.1% 13.0% 16.0% 15.2% 4.8%
Haley Temme 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 5.6% 11.2% 71.0%
Esme Gonzalez 7.1% 4.5% 5.8% 7.7% 10.1% 9.6% 11.1% 10.3% 11.5% 11.9% 8.2% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.