← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland-1.29+1.85vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University-0.15-0.29vs Predicted
-
3Rutgers University-1.33-0.14vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy-3.04+0.84vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-3.23+0.09vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-1.96-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.85University of Maryland-1.290.2%1st Place
-
1.71Princeton University-0.150.5%1st Place
-
2.86Rutgers University-1.330.2%1st Place
-
4.84U. S. Military Academy-3.040.0%1st Place
-
5.09Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
-
3.65Drexel University-1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Simcox | 17.6% | 24.5% | 26.6% | 20.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Advik Eswaran | 54.6% | 26.7% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Martin | 16.0% | 25.8% | 26.4% | 21.5% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Gaddis | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 33.5% | 38.1% |
| Julia Marich | 1.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 26.9% | 50.4% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 7.8% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 28.4% | 23.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.