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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+7.78vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+5.49vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+6.71vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.38+4.96vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.39+3.98vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.78+1.34vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90+4.08vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+2.33vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23+0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.90+0.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.65-3.75vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.28-3.66vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-3.37vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.63vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-7.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.50vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.71-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.71University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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8.96Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.34College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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11.08Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.66Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.03Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.34Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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8.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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7.45Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Megan Magill | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 12.5% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 27.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.