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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+4.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.76+2.10vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.14+3.03vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.80+3.08vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.77+2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.70+1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08+4.18vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.60+2.12vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.23-4.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63-3.19vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.41-3.68vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.79-5.75vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.56-2.79vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.67+0.53vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-2.23+0.22vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.07-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.1Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.03Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.03Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.12Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.25Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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15.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.670.0%1st Place
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16.22University of New Hampshire-2.230.0%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Stapleton | 18.3% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 23.9% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Theresa Straw | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Richard Pokorny | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Teo | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rory Murray | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Leblond | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 42.5% | 33.0% |
| Cole Norris | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 26.2% | 61.8% |
| Robert Heath | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.