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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+4.04vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+3.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.76+1.22vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.77+3.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.23+0.56vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.80+1.19vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.79+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.70-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.38-0.39vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.41-1.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.63-3.28vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.56-0.95vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.60-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.53vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.07-2.62vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.67-0.38vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-2.23-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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4.22Brown University2.760.2%1st Place
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7.28Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.56Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.16Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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8.25Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.630.1%1st Place
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11.05Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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11.04Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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15.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.670.0%1st Place
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16.24University of New Hampshire-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Stapleton | 17.3% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Teo | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Richard Pokorny | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Murray | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Theresa Straw | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Begin | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 23.8% | 10.6% | 1.9% |
| Robert Heath | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 11.9% | 1.7% |
| Emma Leblond | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 42.4% | 33.7% |
| Cole Norris | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 24.6% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.