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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+3.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.23+3.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+1.17vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.77+2.81vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.80+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.70+1.14vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.79-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38-0.16vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.60+1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08+1.98vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.80-4.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47-1.13vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.56-2.32vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.41-5.96vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.67+0.32vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.77-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-2.23-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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5.26Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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4.17Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.82Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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10.68Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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8.04Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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15.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.670.0%1st Place
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13.96Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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16.09University of New Hampshire-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 18.0% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Begin | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Charles Gish | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Judge | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Rory Murray | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Max Teo | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Leblond | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 14.9% | 35.5% | 31.8% |
| Emilia Perriera | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 28.5% | 21.8% | 8.2% |
| Cole Norris | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 25.3% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.