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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.77+5.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+2.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23+2.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.38+2.94vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.80+0.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47+3.86vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.41-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.08+3.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.70-3.08vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.56-0.36vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.60-1.52vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.79-6.14vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.80-7.24vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.77-1.17vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-2.23+0.10vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.67-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.15Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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5.41Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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4.25Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston University1.410.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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10.48Harvard University0.600.0%1st Place
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6.86Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
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13.83Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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16.1University of New Hampshire-2.230.0%1st Place
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15.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Hudson | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.1% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 17.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Judge | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Max Teo | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rory Murray | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Theresa Straw | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Gish | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 28.4% | 23.2% | 7.9% |
| Cole Norris | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 24.4% | 58.3% |
| Emma Leblond | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 15.2% | 35.9% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.