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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.85+4.24vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.15+4.56vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.50+2.58vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+1.67vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.49+0.55vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.08-2.15vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.98-0.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.74-0.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.31+0.11vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.07+0.02vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.78-3.35vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-7.60vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.73-1.42vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.91-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.11-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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6.58Northeastern University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.85Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.97Connecticut College0.980.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.310.0%1st Place
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11.02Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.65Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Vermont-0.730.0%1st Place
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14.63University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| reece schwartz | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leila Pfrang | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 15.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Chatburn | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Clay | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Straw | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Jack Schneider | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zia Magill | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 17.0% | 25.0% | 20.9% | 6.3% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 34.2% | 41.8% |
| Jingyi Chen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 29.0% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.